Richard Roeper's Oscar Picks

Check out the movie critics picks for best flicks:

Best Supporting Actress: Melissa Leo in 'The Fighter'

Best Supporting Actor: Christian Bale in 'The Fighter'

Best Actress: Natalie Portman in 'Black Swan'

Best Actor: Colin Firth in 'The King's Speech'

Best Picture: Richard said it should go to 'Inception' but will instead likely go to either 'The King's Speech' or 'The Social Network.'

Over/under on the number of people who'll nervously read a speech they scribbled on a crumpled piece of paper: 5. Over/under on winners cut off by the orchestra: 6.